Early Slate Player Props


In the featured game we want to pull back the curtain and show you the amount of research that we put into all our isolated picks. After this featured game we will just be listing the other player props to target as we have done the past three weeks.


(Featured Game)

(*) = Confidence Rating (***) = Best


Roethlisberger UNDER 275.5 Pass Yds (W)

C. Wentz OVER 239.5 Pass Yards (W)

C. Wentz OVER .5 INT's (W)

B. Roethlisberger OVER 1.5 Pass TD's (W)


Ben has exceeded this passing yards total just once this season. Ben is averaging 274 passing yards a game at home. The Eagles are allowing 258 passing yards on the road per game this season. On the other side the Steelers are allowing 270 passing yards per game at home. Carson Wentz so far this season on the road is averaging 231.5 passing yards per game. Carson Wentz has three games where he's thrown 2 or more INT's. In week four Wentz had his best day as a passer but still threw an INT. Philly has allowed just two passing TD's on the road this season. In the other games however, they have given up 2 and 3 passing TD's. Ben has at least two passing TD's in every game played this season (3,2,2).


M. Sanders UNDER 54.5 Rush Yards (L)

M. Sanders OVER 25.5 Rec. Yards (L)

J. Conner OVER 64.5 Rush Yards (L)

J. Conner UNDER 21.5 Rec. Yards (W)

J. Conner UNDER 3.5 Rec. (W)


Miles Sanders is averaging 78.6 rush yards per game, but only 46 rush yards on the road. Granted last week against SF was his first road game. Pittsburgh is allowing only 40.32 rush yards per game, and at home just 46.5 rush yards to opposing backs. Sanders is also seeing 82% of RB targets for the Eagles. The Steelers are allowing a average receiving stat line of 4-39 to RB's. Sanders has exceeded this total in two out of three games played already (36 and 30). Philly is allowing 78.6 rush yards per game to opposing RB's. Conner has gone over 100 yards the last two games. Conner is also seeing 61% of RB targets for the Steelers. Philly is giving up 47 rec. yards per game to the RB position.


E. Ebron OVER 37.5 Rec. Yards (W)

E. Ebron OVER 3.5 Rec. (W)

Z. Ertz UNDER 48.5 Rec. Yards (W)


Ebron has been over this total each of the last two games (52. 43). Philly is being destroyed by the position and his averaging 6.5 receptions and 69 rec. yards per game allowed, this is skewed due to Drew Sample not being able to do anything worth while in a smash spot. Just look to last weeks game where they allowed Kittle to catch all 15 of his targets for 183 yards and a score. Pittsburgh on the other hand is allowing just 41.3 yards per game to the position. Ertz just seems off and not his self through the first four weeks of the season putting up 3 games under this total (18, 42, 9).


D. Johnson UNDER 5.5 Rec. (W)

JuJu OVER 56.5 Rec. Yards (L)

J. Washington UNDER 31.5 Rec. Yards (W)

C. Claypool OVER 23.5 Rec. Yards (W)


Diontae has seen 36.7 % of the wide receiver target share through the first three games of the season. It is clear that he is the new WR1 for the Pittsburgh Steelers. It is also clear that he should have to contend with Darius Slay all game as well as that #1 wide out. This bodes well for JuJu who comes in next in target share with 27%. This is lining up to be a JuJu and Ebron day in the passing attack as the Steelers will look to target the weak middle of that Philly secondary. Washington and Claypool props are pretty good to target as well, especially Claypool who has hit over this yardage total every game this season.

Bengals @ Ravens


L. Jackson UNDER 229.5 Pass Yards (W)

L. Jackson UNDER 19.5 Comp. (W)

J. Burrow OVER 267.5 Pass Yards (L)

J. Burrow OVER 23.5 Comp. (L)

J. Mixon OVER 14.5 Rush Att. (W)

M. Ingram UNDER 11.5 Rush Att. (W)

Chiefs Vs. Raiders


D. Carr UNDER 262.5 Pass Yards (L)

P. Mahomes UNDER 310.5 Pass Yards (L)

P. Mahomes UNDER 27.5 Comp. (W)

C. Edwards-Helaire OVER 80.5 Rush Yds. (L)

C. Edwards-Helaire OVER 26.5 Rec. Yds. (W)

Cardinals @ Jets


K. Murray UNDER 259.5 Pass Yards (L)

D. Hopkins OVER 6.5 Rec. (L)

J. Crowder OVER 62.5 Rec. Yards (W)

C. Herndon UNDER 27.5 Rec. Yards (W)

The Team Vs. Rams


J. Goff OVER 267.5 Pass Yards (W)

K. Allen UNDER 232.5 Pass Yards (W)

K. Allen UNDER 1.5 Pass TD's (W)

J. Goff UNDER 23.5 Comp. (W)

C. Kupp OVER 4.5 Rec. (W)

Jaguars @ Texans


D. Watson UNDER 292.5 Pass Yds. (L)

J. Robinson OVER 70.5 Rush Yds. (L)

Dave Johnson UNDER 73.5 Rush Yds. (L)

D. Chark OVER 4.5 Rec. (L)

W. Fuller OVER 65.5 Rec. Yds. (L)


Finished in the Green (25-16) (61%)


Season Record (142-105) (57%)


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