By: Little Italy (Publisher)
Follow on Twitter: @LILITALY853
In this series I will take one player from each team to add to my All 32 Bust Team for 2021.
WR: Odell Beckham Jr.
The days of one-handed glory with flashing bulbs lighting up the background and sounds of a squealing Cris Collinsworth potentially nearing climax are well behind this overhyped diva. No this isn’t the ramblings of a scorned OBJ fantasy owner, though he did cost me the 2018 ACI (Congrats Fabio), this is but a mere warning to all fantasy owners entering 2021 fantasy drafts. You see, since OBJ’s last Pro Bowl Season, 2016, he has done little to impress. In fact, did you know that since that 2016 season where he finished as the WR3 in PPR formats (287.2 FP) he has failed to crack the top thirteen at the position. When looking at seasons after this 2016 year in which he played at least twelve games OBJ has finished as the WR14 (2018) and WR29 (2019). It is the latter of those two finishes that should raise eyebrows for us fantasy owners, because this was not only his first year in Cleveland, but it is also OBJ’s only season as a Pro where he played 16 games.
OBJ is another year older entering his age 29 season, and just months removed from a brutal knee injury that cost him eight games in 2020. The fact that he has missed twenty-seven games throughout his pro career should be concerning enough, but owners are infatuated with the name brand, a fantasy football no no that has been crushing hopes and dreams of fantasy owners since Clinton was denying sexual relations in that ivory office. Even in drafts this season OBJ is garnering a laughable ADP of 65, making him a high end WR3 as the twenty sixth receiver off the board. Those paying this high draft price will be the same folks left feeling disgruntled and ashamed, for yet again, falling for this fantasy joker by seasons end.
Injury and missed games aside, OBJ also has never gotten on the same page as current QB Baker Mayfield. Through the first six weeks of the 2020 season OBJ was the WR27 in PPR formats averaging 14.5 fantasy points per game, which is an OK average, but this number is misleading, as it includes the monster game where OBJ dominated a disgusting Dallas defense to the tune of 154 yards and three scores. What we have to understand as fantasy owners is that the other five games played in this span is what we can expect OBJ to be moving forward, and that was a player who failed to reach sixty yards in all contests while only scoring one time. We know that Cleveland is a run heavy team, fourth highest run rate per game behind only Baltimore, New England, and Tennessee. We know that the volume may not always be there for OBJ, as he has buddy Jarvis Landry still playing at a high level and young ascending players such as Peoples-Jones on the roster who flashed in his rookie season contesting for targets. Speaking of contested, did you know that OBJ came in ranked as the WR70 in contested catch rate last year. That wasn’t his only poor area as he finished as the WR41 in yards per route run and the WR86 in yards per target.
Clearly out of any player on this up and coming Cleveland roster OBJ is the likely guy to bust in 2021. The offensive scheme, the injury history, and the attitude has me out on this net abusing former baller. At his current price in drafts, I would much rather target DJ Moore (WR25) who is going at the same point in drafts. Hell, I will be more than happy to select two rookies such as Ja’Marr Chase and Devonta Smith who are going as the WR45 and WR55 respectively in drafts, over OBJ and you would be wise to as well.