EWWW Crew: Week Three

Updated: Sep 29, 2020

In this weekly series, we will highlight seven players we think will under perform for our fantasy teams. The players highlighted in this weekly series will consist of one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, and one tight end. These are the players we are staying clear of in all DFS contests for the week. Now, we are not saying sit these players in your fantasy leagues, but just temper expectations for the week.

Josh Allen (Versus the LA Rams)

In Week Two we were all in on Josh Allen and he didn't disappoint us against a very weak Miami defense. Allen was a top play at the position putting up a 24/35-417-4-0 passing line. This was after Allen just got done beating up on the hapless Jets in week one for three additional scores (2-passing, 1-rushing). Week three marks the toughest test of the season for Allen and the Bills, as the unbeaten LA Rams come to town. The Rams come in tied for the seventh toughest quarterback matchup allowing just 16 fantasy points per game to the position this year. This defense held Dak Prescott to a 25/39-266-1 line in week one and Wentz to a 26/43-242-0-2 line in week two. The defense has also limited the position in terms of rushing as well, allowing a combined 5-37-1 through the first two weeks. Allen no doubt will pose the toughest test to the Rams in terms of mobility, however we feel the Rams will hold Allen to his lowest statistical game of the season, which has us staying away from him and his DFS price tag. (32.24 FP)

David Johnson (At the Pittsburgh Steelers)

David Johnson came crashing back down to Earth after a stellar week one performance against the weak KC run defense. Last week the Baltimore defense held the veteran runner in check with just 7 fantasy points, and Unforntately for Johnson his road doesn't get any easier in week three. Johnson and the Texans travel up to the Northeast to take on the undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers have allowed the 5th fewest fantasy points per game to the running back position. In week one this unit held Saquon Barkley to just 6 rush yards and 6 catches for 60 yards (12.6FP). Last week this unit allowed 70 yards to Melvin Gordon, but it took 19 carries to achieve that total. Gordon did score a receiving touchdown to salvage his day(16.4FP), however we don't like Johnsons chances in this one to duplicate that performance. In the first two weeks Johnson has seen exactly 11 rushes per game, and 4 targets in the passing game. In week one Johnson averaged a very good, however unsustainable, seven yards per rush. In week two his yards per attempt were split more than in half as he averaged 3 yards per attempt. So with Johnson the key is to be all in on the veteran in plus matchups, and in tougher matchups we have to stay away, so with that said we want no piece of Johnson in week three. (12.6 FP)

Clyde Edwards-Helaire (At the Baltimore Ravens)

Can it be? Yes it's true, CEH is a fade for us in week three as he and the Super Bowl Champion Chiefs head east to take on their fellow AFC juggernaut the Baltimore Ravens. CEH has to go against a defensive unit that has allowed the fewest fantasy points to the running back position in 2020, allowing just 13.1 fantasy points per game. In week one they shut down the Cleveland duo of Chubb and Hunt. Then in week two as we alluded to above shut out David Johnson. In his debut CEH finished as a top 11 PPR back netting 19.8 fantasy points on 25 touches. In week two against a much tougher LA Chargers defense CEH totaled 70 yards on 16 touches netting 13 fantasy points, which led him to be the RB26 on the week. The one positive in that poor showing against the Chargers was the uptick he saw in the passing attack going from zero catches on two targets in week one, to catching 6 of 8 targets for 32 yards in week two. We feel this game has shootout potential under the MNF lights, however we think CEH will fall short in this one and underwhelm his fantasy owners for the second week in a row. For this reason CEH is a fade for us in week three. (18.4 FP)

The Lion Wide Outs (At the Arizona Cardinals)

It appears as though Kenny Golladay will make his 2020 season debut this Sunday, when the Lions travel out to the Arizona desert to take on the Cardinals. Unfortunately for Kenny Golladay and fellow wide receivers Marvin Jones and company they have the number one defense against wide receivers waiting. The Cardinals have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to the position(23 FPPG) so far this season. This Cardinal defense has given up just 17 catches to opposing wide receivers through two weeks, which is an average of only 8.5 catches per game. This number could be a bit misleading as the team faced off against a depleted SF receiver corp. in week one that managed to catch just 4 balls for 41 yards. Then in week two the team went against "The Team" and allowed 198 yards to the position, 125 of that coming from Terry McLaurin. This Lion's offense hasn't looked good thus far in 2020, and we feel though Golladay will give the Lions offense a boost, we feel it won't be enough to trust any Lion's wide out in week three against a defense, that by the numbers, is the leagues best against the position. (17.7 FP) (8.1 FP)

DJ Moore (At the LA Chargers)

This new Panther offense under Joe Brady has sputtered and underwhelmed thus far out of the gate in 2020. Now the team will have to go at least the next four weeks with out their offensive centerpiece Christian McCaffrey who picked up a high ankle sprain in the teams week two loss to Tampa Bay. This injury likely will force the team to be more pass happy in the next few games. This should bode well for Moore, who has been the teams most heavily targeted wide receiver. This may be the case, however in week three we feel Moore and the Carolina passing game is in for a long afternoon. The Panthers must travel across the country to the west coast to take on a LA Charger team that came within an eyelash of beating the world champion Chiefs. This Charger team features one of the leagues best defenses, especially against wide receivers. This Charger defense has allowed the 9th fewest fantasy points to the position, averaging 30.9 FPPG. In week one the unit held AJ Green to a 5-51-0 line, and held Tyler Boyd to a 4-33-0 line. In week two they held Tyreek Hill pretty much in check until the second half, seeing him finish with a 5-99-1 line. It should be noted that line took 11 targets for Hill to achieve. We feel with no real threat in the backfield this Chargers defense will have no problem shutting down this Panther passing attack, thus making Moore and his fellow wideouts all fades in week three. (8.5 FP)

Tyreek Hill (At the Baltimore Ravens)

What two Chiefs on this list for week three? You bet your ass there is. Much like CEH, Tyreek Hill has a very difficult matchup waiting for him in week three. This Baltimore Ravens defense is the second toughest matchup against the position. This Raven defensive unit has allowed the second fewest fantasy points to the wide receiver position, allowing 25.8 FPPG. The Ravens have shut down every number one wide receiver for each team faced so far in 2020. In week one they held OBJ to 3 catches for 22 yards. In week two they held Will Fuller to a zero catch/ zero yard day. This should be worrisome for those Hill owners. Hill does line up out of the slot quite often, which is where this defense is a bit vulnerable, allowing an average of 5 catches and 60 yards from the slot. However, we are fading Hill this week as we feel this will be a down week for the Chiefs star wide receiver. (21.2 FP)

Darren Waller (At the New England Patriots)

Is this last guy a mistake? Didn't Waller just finish week two as the number two fantasy tight end putting up 28.3 fantasy points? Isn't Waller coming off a massive MNF game against a tough Saints defense that saw him catch 12 balls for over 100 yards and a score. Well to answer those last two questions yes and yes. However, the fact that he finds himself on our Week Three EWW Crew is not a mistake. Waller and the red hot Las Vegas Raiders must now travel to New England to take on a very strong Patriots defense. We know that Bill Belichick is very good at erasing the teams best players, which Waller no doubt is one of for the Raiders. This Patriots defense is also very tough against opposing tight ends. In fact, this unit has allowed the 3rd fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season, allowing just 4 FPPG to the position. There is another factor that has us low on Waller this week, and that is history. Let's dive in a bit deeper and look to Waller's stats after 100 yard games last season. In week 3 of last year Waller caught 13 for 134. The following week Waller caught 7 for 53. In week 7 Waller caught 7 for 126 and two scores. The following game in week 8 Waller caught 2 balls for 11 yards and a touchdown. In week 15 last year Waller caught 8 balls for 122 yards. Then to close out the fantasy season in week 16 Waller caught just 4 balls for 37 yards. His history is telling us to expect nothing big out of him this week, as you can see above, after 100 yard games Waller averages just 4 catches for 33.6 yards and a 33% chance of scoring. This will not be worth the price tag he has in DFS this week. So his past history, the fact New England is tough against tight ends, and also the fact that Billy likes to shut down the stars of opposing offenses has us out on Waller in week three. (2.9 FP)