In this weekly series, we will highlight seven players we think will under perform for our fantasy teams. The players highlighted in this weekly series will consist of one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, and one tight end. These are the players we are staying clear of in all DFS contests for the week. Now, we are not saying sit these players in your fantasy leagues, but just temper expectations for the week.
Deshaun Watson (Versus the Baltimore Ravens)
It was clear last Thursday night that this Houston Texan offense is going to struggle due to the fact that the offensive line play is still a problem. Deshaun Watson was hit a number of times, and when he wasn't being hit he was scrambling for his life, as his linemen basically just stood and watched. It should be no real surprise that this offensive line came in as PFF's fifth worse graded offensive line in week one. The next test for this struggling unit will be against a defensive juggernaut in the Baltimore Ravens. Deshaun will be facing a defensive unit that blitzed on 57% of their snaps in week one. Deshaun will find himself under constant duress in this one, which will make it hard for him to produce.
(Finished the week with 15.70 FP)
Christian McCaffrey (At the Tampa Bay Bucs)
This defensive unit burned us last week, as we thought they would stop Alvin Kamara, but he still was able to put up 23.7 fantasy points. We are going back to the well and betting that this Todd Bowles led unit will rebound in their home opener, and slow down last season's best fantasy running back, as they did in 2019. In two games last season CMC was held to 68 rushing yards and one touchdown. This unit also was able to hold CMC to 6 catches for 42 yards and one touchdown. So when we add this all up the leagues best fantasy running back averaged 14.5 FPPG against this defense. For us, that type of production is not worth his price tag in DFS, and also numbers that must make us temper expectations for McCaffrey in week two.
(Finished the week with 24.80 FP)
Melvin Gordon (At the Pittsburgh Steelers)
The next player we are down on for week two is Denver's new running back Melvin Gordon. Gordon is coming off a Denver debut that saw him put up 15.6 fantasy points. He was relatively quiet until late in the game where he started to get going. Gordon struggled in the first half as he fumbled the ball, and lost work to Phillip Lindsay. By nights end he finished with 78 yards on the ground and a touchdown. As a pass catcher he caught 3 balls for just 8 yards. Entering week two there is a strong possibility he will only be competing with Royce Freeman for touches, as Phillip Lindsay is battling a turf toe injury. This should be a positive and it is, but there is a big negative to go along with this positive, and that is he will be traveling to take on a very stout Pittsburgh defense. This Pittsburgh unit is coming off a pretty strong performance stopping an Elite back in Saquon Barkley. This unit held Barkley to 66 total yards. 6 of those total yards were rush yards, the rest were a result of his six catches. By nights end Barkley finished with 12.6 fantasy points. Pittsburgh struggled a bit against the pass , but did look very good against the run, which has us tempering expectations for Gordon this week.
(Finished the week with 16.40 FP)
D.K. Metcalf (Versus the New England Patriots)
Last week the second year wide receiver produced for our fantasy teams catching 4 of 8 targets for 95 yards and a touchdown. That outing resulted in 19.5 Fantasy Points seeing him finish as the WR13 on the week. However, that matchup was against a Falcons defense that was the 12th most favorable matchup in 2019 for the position. In week two the big X receiver returns to Seattle on Sunday night for his home opener against stiffer competition, the New England Patriots. The Patriots defense was the toughest matchup for wide outs in 2019 allowing on average 14.1 fantasy points per game to the position. After last weekends beat down of the Dolphins it's safe to assume that secondary is just as good as it was in 2019. It is also likely that Metcalf will be seeing both stud cornerback Stephon Gilmore and J.C. Jackson. For this reason we are down on the second year wide out in week two, so fade him in DFS and temper expectations in season long.
(Finished the week with 19.20 FP)
Will Fuller (Versus the Baltimore Ravens)
Will Fuller had a great week one as Deshaun Watson's new primary target. In that game against KC Fuller brought in 8 of his 10 targets for 112 yards totaling 19.2 Fantasy points, finishing as the WR14. This was nice to see because up until this season Fuller was primarily only that deep threat for the Texans, but now will be leaned on to be that possession receiver. However, we are down on Fuller this week just as much as we are down on his QB who we mentioned above. Fuller faces a Baltimore secondary full of talented corner backs. Last week this unit allowed only 10.40 fantasy points to the Cleveland Brown receivers. For this reason and the offensive line concerns we mentioned above we are fading Will Fuller in this week two matchup.
(Finished the week with 0.0 FP)
Keenan Allen (Versus the Kansas City Chiefs)
After watching last week it's pretty safe to say our off season fears were pretty much confirmed. Keenan Allen just seems as though he isn't going to be the same valuable fantasy assets he's been the last number of years. This is no fault of Keenan Allen as he is one of the most talented in the league, the problem is having Tyrod Taylor under center. For Keenan to be valuable he needs volume and he will not get that volume with Tyrod under center. In week one Tyrod targeted Allen's teammate Mike Williams(9) more then Allen(8). Coming into week two Allen will be facing a KC defense that was the third toughest against the position in 2019, allowing just 16.6 fantasy points per game. Last week this defensive unit gave up only 13 receptions to wide receivers, which is three less then Tyrod Taylor completed all game against the Bengals in week one. The Chargers will likely try to control this game with the ground game, as the Chiefs allowed the 7th most fantasy points per game the position(21.7FP) in 2019. For these reasons we are down on Keenan Allen in week two.
(Finished the week with 16.6 FP)
Mike Gesicki (Versus the Buffalo Bills)
Last season the young tight end was virtually non existent against this defensive unit, as he averaged just under 7 fantasy points per game. In week seven Gesicki caught 4 balls for 41 yards, and then in week eleven he caught 4 balls for just 18 yards. This shouldn't be surprising this Bills defense was the 5th toughest matchup against the position, allowing just 8.7 fantasy points per game to the position. In week one the Bills held Chris Herndon to 37 yards on 6 catches. We are fading Gesicki in this tough week two matchup.
(Finished the week with 27 FP)