Just because the NFL regular season is finished, that doesn't mean the fantasy season has to be finished as well. With the NFL Playoffs set to start this weekend we are able to continue this addiction that we love, that is fantasy football. Luckily for us there is a number of ways to enjoy this addiction, whether it be with DFS, or the various fantasy formats/styles for the NFL Playoffs. My favorite style of fantasy play for the NFL post season is the one and done format. I like this format because you have to be strategic in how you make plays week to week. In this series of articles you the reader will jump on my back and tag along as I navigate my #1 fantasy league's post season fantasy series.
I should have went with my pre-season prediction and had the Bucs going over the Packers in the NFC Title game. It was a move that cost me the fantasy production of Aaron Jones, Aaron Rodgers, MVS, Davante Adams, and Robert Tonyan. However, did make one last minute change from last weeks article and that was swapping out Mike Evans for Tyreek Hill. I figured he and Kelce both would have huge days against the Bills, and they did just that. With that move I jumped from second place and just 27 points behind first, to a nice 40+ point first place lead. Yes, I used a slew of talented players such as Kelce, Hill, Godwin, Fournette, and Mahomes already, but that is ok because we should have just enough fire power left to win this league. So for fun who do I see emerging victorious this week in the final game of the 2020 season? Let's take a look.
Tampa Bay (5) at KC Chiefs (1) - Bucs
As you can see I'm going with my pre-season prediction and that is Brady getting his seventh championship on his home turf. Just a reminder in this league we are required to start the following every week: QB, RB(2), WR(3), TE, 1 FLX(RB/WR/TE), K, D. Now that we have our lineup requirements I can now begin to build our best possible Championship one and done line up, starting with the Quarterback position.
QB -- Tom Brady Vs. Kansas City
Many are arguing that if the TB Bucs have any chance of winning this weekend they will need to keep the high powered Chiefs offense on the sideline, and to do that they will have to run the ball with Fournette and Jones. I don't see Arians, Leftwich, and Brady going this conservative route in the big game. Instead I see Brady coming out and going blow for blow with Patty Mahomes, to prove why he is the Goat. When these two teams last met back in week 12 Brady went over 340 yards passing in a losing effort. In that game he did throw two picks, but he also threw for three touchdowns. I see a similar game coming for the Goat, minus the two picks. I am plugging Brady in to be my Super Bowl Hammer this week.
RB -- CEH @ Tampa Bay
I used Darrel Williams last week and he found double digit fantasy points for our squad, thanks to a TD. CEH also found the end zone last week and we will need him to do that again this week to help propel our team to a one and done playoff championship. CEH played on just 49% of the Chiefs offensive snaps last week, which I am hoping was the Chiefs just easing him back onto the field from injury. The last time these two teams met CEH played on 59% touching the ball just 12 times (11 rush, 1 pass). This TB rush defense is no joke and it could be tough sledding for the rookie, as it was in week 12 where he netted just 37 yards on the ground. I'm left with no other options at the position this week so have to plug him in and hope he can kindle that Damien Williams Super Bowl magic from last season.
RB -- Ronald Jones Vs. Kansas City
As i stated above I have exhausted my running back options in the previous rounds, leaving very slim pickings for this week. Ronald Jones comes in as the second best option behind CEH for me this week, as I have him way ahead of Lev Bell and LeSean McCoy. Since playoff Lenny has emerged Jones has taken a backseat in this offense, playing on just 28% and 29% of the Bucs offensive snaps in two post season games payed. Jones has got the same number of passes as I have in those two games as well, that's right 0.0. Regardless in the event that the Bucs do go the conservative route and run more then pass, again highly unlikely, against this bottom tier Chiefs run defense, I'm hoping ROJO can make the most of his opportunities. It only takes one big play to contribute, and in week 12 Jones did catch a 37 yard pass that he took to the house. So yes Lloyd I'm saying there's a chance!!
WR -- Mike Evans Vs. Kansas City
Evans is back in this article again this week due to me switching him out last minute for Hill last week. I'm hoping that move pays dividends this week. Evans in games not against the Saints this post season is averaging a very healthy 9 targets a game (10-WFT and 8-GB). I think he will see opportunity in the 2020 finale as well. Now in week 12 the Chiefs did a great job holding Evans to just 3 catches on 9 targets, but they didn't do well in the fact that 2 of those 3 receptions were for touchdowns. I think with all the wide receiver talent in this game Evans is being overshadowed, which could lead to a big day from him.
WR -- Antonio Brown Vs. Kansas City
AB is just four quarters away from cementing his name as truly one of the best to ever play the position, as he is primed to get that missing piece to his impressive resume. That missing piece to the puzzle is of course a Super Bowl Championship. AB is also in line to get a nice $750,000 bonus if the Bucs pull out the win, which always helps players ball out. AB missed last week after suffering a minor knee injury against the Saints, but he should be ready to go this weekend. I think AB will be moved around the formation and help not only the Bucs, but my fantasy team to get a victory this weekend. The last time these two teams met AB was just entering his fourth game with the Bucs and was essentially shutdown by the Chiefs, as he caught just 2 of 3 for 11 yards. AB will no doubt outplay this dismal stat line.
WR/Flex -- Sammy Watkins & Mecole Hardman @ Tampa Bay
With already using Hill and Godwin I am plugging in both Chief wide outs this weekend. Watkins is looking to be retuning from an extended injury, and is motivated to capture a third Super Bowl ring. Hardman who had a shaky start to his AFC Title game quickly rebound and helped propel the Chiefs past the Bills. Hardman is a big play threat and can take one to the house any given play, and will have to do it this week for our fantasy team. Watkins shined last post season, and was one of Mahomes favorite targets, entering his first post season game this season I hope Mahomes goes back to that well, as the Bucs will look to limit both the production of Kelce and Hill.
TE -- Cam Brate Vs. Kansas City
I had a choice between both Tampa Bay tight ends this week, and I have decided on plugging in Brate this week. Gronk just seems like a shell of his former self, where Brate has been great, Hey that rhymed. Anyways, Cameron Brate has the best potential to shine against this Chiefs secondary, as they can be beat in the middle of the field where Brate lives. Brate has seen over five targets in every post season game this year, and I like that to continue this week in the Super Bowl. Brate in week 12 caught 4 of 6 for 34 against this Chiefs defense. Gronk did out perform this number in that same game catching 6 of 7 for over 100 yards, which was his last decent fantasy game. Since that game he's averaged just 1.4 catches a game. Brate over that span has caught 3 or more balls in 4 of those 7, give me Brate.
K -- Harrison Butker @ Tampa Bay
In a game that Vegas has the total set at 56.6 we can expect a lot of fireworks. Both Offenses should be able to move the ball pretty well, but I willing to bet the Chiefs may be forced to kick more field goals in this one. This is why I'm going Butker over Succop. Also Butker has experience kicking in this type of high pressured game. In week 12 he was 100% on FG(2) and PATS(3-3). I'll take that.
DEF -- Tampa Bay VS Kansas City
It's quite simple the Bucs are the better unit out of the two. The Bucs are a top tier run stopping unit, and their backend is pretty good as well. This Todd Bowles led defense started the year hot then fell off, just to regain that early season fire. Like I said TB will win this game and the defense will contribute by turning over Mahomes and shutting down the run game.