By: Little Italy (Publisher)
Follow on Twitter: @LILITALY853
Current ADP: RB28 / 68.38 (NFFC)
DK Rushing Total Line: 650.5
DK Reception Line: 46.5
Many are entering 2021 very optimistic with Edmonds as the "lead back" in this Arizona rushing attack, but should they be? Don't get me wrong I think Edmonds will be a solid RB3 for our fantasy teams with RB2 upside any given week in PPR leagues, but will he be the teams lead back? To answer that question no he will not be, as long as James Conner is healthy. In fact, I don't see much change in his role from a season ago when Kenyan Drake was in the mix. Chase Edmonds' value is going to come as a pass catcher more so then as a runner. Do I see him getting more rush attempts then last season- absolutely, but it wont be enough volume to reach this current rushing yards line.
As a pass catcher Edmonds should blow past this reception line with ease. With my projections I tend to lean on the conservative side and even they have Edmonds past this 46.5 total. Just look to last season with Drake in the fold, Edmonds went well over this total with 53. The addition of rookie Rondale Moore could hurt his target share if he begins to emerge, but the extra game will help offset this "Moore Effect" enough to reach the over.
My Projection: 138 RA - 592 YDS - 2.6 TD's
How to Bet
-OVER- 46.5 Rec. (-115)
-UNDER- 650.5 Rush Yards (-115)