Week 11 Upgrades and Downgrades

Updated: Nov 21, 2020

Kyler Murray @ Seattle: (Upgrade) Kyler has been an absolute beast this season. He possesses the running ability of a Lamar Jackson as well as the passing skills of a Patrick Mahomes, and now he gets the defense that is giving up the second most fantasy points to the quarterback position in the Seahawks. Over the last three games, Seattle is allowing an average of 302 pass yards per game. QB’s are completing 70% of their passes against this defense averaging a 29/42 comp/att. line. This defense has also allowed two passing touchdowns twice over this three-week span, with the exception of Goff putting up a zero in that category last week. The Seahawks also surrendered 38 yards on 7 carries to the mobile Josh Allen in week nine, which we fully expect Murray to easily surpass this week. we must note though, the Seahawks defense has at least one INT. in two of the last three contests.

Other Upgrades at QB:

Ben Roethlisberger @ Jacksonville

Justin Herbert VS New York Jets

Alex Smith VS Cincinnati

Aaron Rodgers @ Indianapolis: (Downgrade) Much like Murray, Rodgers has been one of the best at the position this season so far. However, unlike Murray, Rodgers gets a tough test this week in an Indy defense that is the toughest fantasy matchup for the quarterback position. Over the last three weeks, this defense is allowing a 19/30-217-1-.3 passing line. The Colts surrendered a 5-25.6-.3 rushing average during this span as well. We must note that this number includes a week 9 game where Lamar Jackson ran 13 times for 58 yards and a score, meaning Tannehill and Stafford averaged 1.5 rushes for 9 yards and zero rushing touchdowns in the other two games, which we see Rodgers being in the neighborhood of.

Other Downgrades at QB:

Tom Brady VS LA Rams

Ryan Tannehill @ Baltimore

Phillip Rivers VS Green Bay

D’Andre Swift @ Carolina: (Upgrade) Swift finally got that RB1 treatment the Lions fan base and fantasy owners of Swift have been pounding the table for, and he didn’t disappoint. We fully expect this star treatment to continue this week when the Lions head East to take on a Panthers team that is the fourth best matchup for fantasy running backs, and the defense we just saw Ronald Jones destroy last week on his way to his career day.

(Update: Has been ruled out with a concussion)

Other Upgrades at RB:

Mike Davis VS Detroit

Josh Jacobs VS Kansas City

Clyde Edwards-Helaire @ LV Raiders

James Robinson VS Pittsburgh: (Downgrade) The undrafted rookie running back has been a great surprise for not only the Jaguars, but fantasy owners as well. In fact, Robinson leads all rookies at the position in fantasy points (3rd). However, he is a downgrade for us this week as the second toughest fantasy matchup for running backs, the Steelers, come to town. This defense is allowing 84.3 rush yards per game to the position, which signals us to pull back on Robinson this week.

Other Downgrades at RB:

Ronald Jones/Leonard Fournette VS LA Rams

Todd Gurley @ NO

Aaron Jones @ Indianapolis

DeAndre Hopkins/Christian Kirk @ Seattle: (Upgrade) No wide receiver duo has been hotter over the last month then the Arizona tandem of Hopkins and Kirk. Kirk has a seemingly growing connection with Kyler Murray and up until last week was seeing more production then the elite Hopkins. Last week it was obvious the team made it a point to feature their star wide out more in this one, and lean on him to win the game in stunning fashion, as he was on the receiving end of the now famed “Hail Murray.” This week the tandem gets an upgrade and both have a chance to pile up the fantasy points for their fantasy owners against a historically bad Seattle secondary. This defense is allowing the most fantasy points to the position through ten weeks of the fantasy season.

Other Upgrades at WR:

Thielen/Jefferson VS Dallas

Hollywood/Snead VS Tennessee

Lamb @ Minnesota

Mike Evans/Chris Godwin VS LA Rams: (Downgrade) Word coming into week ten was the Tampa wide outs were growing frustrated with Brady and his forcing the ball to AB, yes already, in their week nine ass kicking by the Saints. Therefore, we fully expected a more balanced distributing of the ball by the goat and that is exactly what we got in week 10. Between the three wide outs, we saw both Evans and Godwin end the day with six balls for over seventy-five yards and a score by Evans. AB would finish the day with the least amount of yards out of the trio but did pace them with seven receptions. This week the dysfunctional trio and daddy Tom have a tough test under the primetime lights of MNF, as the Rams vaunted defense comes to town. This unit has been absolutely shutdown over the past month, as was evident last week in their beat down of Seattle. In that, contest this secondary shutdown D.K Metcalf, arguably the best wide out through the first 10 weeks of the season, as he was held to just two grabs for twenty-eight yards. Lockett was held in check as well, as he ended the day with five grabs for sixty-six yards. Tampa will likely need to work the ball to the tight ends and backs in this one if they do not want to be embarrassed again in prime time.

Other Downgrades at WR:

AJ Brown @Baltimore

Davante Adams @ Indianapolis

Nelson Agholor VS Kansas City

Hayden Hurst @ New Orleans: (Upgrade) We were all worried about Hurst over the first few weeks of the season, as it seemed he and Ryan were not getting comfortable with each other. However, things have changed which is evident when you look at his last three games. During this span Hurst has seen no less then seven targets a game. He turned those targets into six, five, and seven receptions, which we will take, at a position that is typically a wasteland when it comes to fantasy production. This week Hurst gets a Saints defense that is allowing the seventh most fantasy production to the position, so we are confident in Hurst this week as a top five option.

Other Upgrades at TE:

Logan Thomas VS Cincinnati

Eric Ebron @ Jacksonville

Dalton Schultz @ Minnesota

Jonnu Smith @ Baltimore: (Downgrade) Since his week five game against Buffalo on Tuesday Night Football where he caught five for forty and two touchdowns Jonnu has been trending down. Since that contest, he has not topped two receptions in a game. The reason for this is he is being asked to stay inline more to help the offensive line protect Ryan Tannehill, who in his own right has been trending down. This week will be no different, as the Baltimore defense will be hunting even though they are missing some key pieces.

Other Downgrades at TE:

Robert Tonyan @Indianapolis

Dallas Goedert @ Cleveland

Jordan Akins VS New England