Week 14 RB Props to Target

Updated: Dec 14, 2020


David Montgomery (65.5 Rush Yards)


With Bill Lazor now calling plays for the Bears offense Montgomery has looked great. It has also helped Montgomery that over the past two games he has seen two of the most generous defenses to the RB position in the Packers and Lions. This tells me that Montgomery is able to exploit these juicy matchups, which is good, because he has another weak run defense to exploit this week at home when the Texans come to the Windy City. Montgomery should cruise right past this 65.5 rush total as he has the past two weeks putting up 103 and 72 rushing totals.


How to Bet: OVER (W)

Jonathan Taylor (52.5 Rush Yards/ 15.5 Rec. Yards)


It appears that Taylor may have finally taken over the bulk of the touches in a backfield which has caused my hair to turn a little more white over the past 13 weeks. With that said this rushing total seems to be be one that Taylor will smash out of the newly built Las Vegas Death Star. Taylor sees a Raiders defense that is one of the more generous defenses to opposing RB's. Taylor has surpassed both these totals over the past two games played (90/91 Rushing)(24/44 Receiving).


How to Bet: OVER (W) and OVER (L)

Chris Carson (56.5 Rush Yards/13.5 Rush Attempts)


Pete Carroll has stated that he wants to get the run game more involved again and somewhat slow this Let Russ Cook offensive approach, that has cooled off in recent weeks. With the last place Jets traveling to the Emerald City this Sunday it just sets up very well for Carroll to deploy this recommitment to the run. With that said this means Chris Carson should be a top back for week 14, which also means this 56.5 rush total will be no match for Carson to surpass, which he's done in 4 of 8 games played. If you are looking for a nice prop to correlate with this rushing total take the over on the 13.5 rush attempts, as I have Carson projected for 16.


How to Bet: OVER (W) and OVER (L)

Dalvin Cook (83.5 Rush Yards/23.5 Rush Attempts)


Dalvin Cook has seen an unbelievable amount of touches over the past three weeks (92). We all know that Cook is easily worn down and susceptible to injury which is strike one for me in fading Cook this week. Strike two is the fact that Cook will meet a top run stuffing defense this week in Tampa Bay. Strike three is projected game script as I feel the Vikings will be forced to play catchup/shootout ball, which means a lot of work for Cousins and the passing attack. The total of this game in Vegas would suggest they feel the same game script is coming. For all these reasons these prop bets for Cook seem just way to high for me.


How to Bet: UNDER (L) and UNDER (W)


Finished in the Green (4-3) (57%)

Season Record (374-263) (59%)

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